GeoEconFlow
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About the Project

GeoEconFlow

Geoeconomic intelligence for supply chain risk, trade compliance, and critical raw materials monitoring

Research Prototype

What GeoEconFlow is

GeoEconFlow is a geoeconomic intelligence platform that tracks how physical geography — maritime chokepoints, conflict zones, sanctions regimes — shapes global trade flows and supply chain risk in real time.

The platform aggregates data from official statistical agencies, multilateral institutions, and specialist maritime sources to answer a specific question: which companies, countries, and industries are most exposed when a chokepoint closes or a sanctions regime changes?

Currently tracking five major chokepoints (Hormuz, Suez, Malacca, Bab el-Mandeb, Panama), war risk insurance premiums across key routes, and entity-level sanctions exposure across 40+ global lists.

Data we use

All sources are free, official, or openly licensed. No proprietary data wall.

SourceCoverage
IMF PortWatch
28 maritime chokepoints · daily vessel counts by type
WTO / AXSMarine
Strait of Hormuz commodity flow index (crude, LNG, fertilizer, agriculture)
EXIOBASE 3 MRIO
49 regions · 163 sectors · bilateral petroleum routing model · 2022
UN Comtrade
Bilateral trade flows by HS code · crude oil, LNG, refined products
OpenSanctions
136K+ entities across OFAC, EU, UK OFSI, UN, 40+ lists
EU Official Journal
Active EU restrictive measures · sanctions regimes
Lloyd's / JWC
War risk premium rates by route and vessel type

What problems it addresses

Three risk categories, each with growing regulatory and commercial urgency

Chokepoint Risk

Sanctions-driven disruption to maritime trade

When conflict or sanctions close a strait, the exposure is not uniform. Countries and companies dependent on specific routes face acute cost spikes, insurance failures, and supply shortfalls. This platform quantifies that exposure by country and commodity.

Trade Compliance

Entity screening across 40+ sanctions lists

Sanctions proliferation — OFAC, EU, UK, UN, BIS — creates compliance complexity for companies with global counterparties. GeoEconFlow provides consolidated entity search across all major lists, updated daily via OpenSanctions.

Regulatory Exposure

CRMA, CSDDD, and LkSG compliance mapping

EU and German due diligence regulations now require documented supply chain risk assessments. GeoEconFlow maps geographic concentration risk and chokepoint dependence at the country and commodity level, directly relevant to regulatory reporting.

Regulatory context

CRMA

Critical Raw Materials ActEU

Mandates supply chain mapping for 34 critical raw materials. Companies must assess geographic concentration risk and demonstrate diversification strategies.

CSDDD

Corporate Sustainability Due DiligenceEU

Requires large companies to identify, prevent, and remediate actual and potential adverse impacts across global supply chains, including maritime routes.

LkSG

LieferkettensorgfaltspflichtengesetzDE

German supply chain due diligence law requiring documented risk assessments for tier-1 and indirect suppliers across all operating markets.

Current status

Research Prototype

GeoEconFlow is an early-stage research project. Data pipelines and models are in active development. Coverage and methodology will expand over time. The platform is not yet suitable for production compliance use — treat outputs as indicative estimates, not authoritative assessments.

Built by Luis Ramos · solo project · feedback welcome